Для сравнения мои результаты, шесть лет спустя, спасибо ув.Srkz! Современный калькулятор,похоже точнее
Least-squares method.
Using 1 population approximation:
1 Belarusian_West @ 3,917103
2 Russian_Tver @ 4,435941
3 Russian_Ryazan_Tula @ 4,458868
4 Russian_Bryansk @ 4,638246
5 Russian_Murom @ 4,671363
6 Ukrainian_Chernigov @ 4,681374
7 Ukrainian_Slobozhanshtchina @ 4,69951
8 Russian_Saratov @ 4,718152
9 Russian_Meshtchyora @ 4,725683
10 Russian_Don @ 4,752789
11 Polish @ 4,827754
12 Ukrainian_Volhyn @ 4,850821
13 Russian_Moscow @ 4,97376
14 Russian_Tambov @ 4,993838
15 Russian_Kursk_Oryol @ 5,088714
16 Russian_Lipetsk_Voronezh @ 5,146177
17 Russian_Ivanovo @ 5,287371
18 Ukrainian_Vinnitsa_Zhitomir @ 5,50535
19 Ukrainian_Poltava @ 5,542296
20 Russian_Andreapol @ 5,581612
21 Belarusian_Poleshtchuk @ 5,705924
22 Russian_Uglich @ 5,856603
23 Russian_Arzamas @ 5,952745
24 Belarusian_Gomel @ 5,959597
25 Russian_Kuban @ 6,005262
26 Russian_Smolensk @ 6,29604
27 Ukrainian_Galichina @ 6,500549
28 Belarusian_Vitebsk_Mogilyov @ 6,683127
29 Moksha @ 6,710294
30 Belarusian_Minsk @ 6,715304
31 Erzya @ 7,135934
32 Russian_Tatarstan_Arsk @ 7,731953
33 Russian_Novgorod @ 8,024396
34 Polish_North_East @ 8,135052
35 Russian_Vetluga @ 8,629594
36 Russian_Pskov @ 9,343833
37 Russian_Siberia @ 9,431556
38 Russian_Vyatka @ 10,264836
39 Russian_Tobol_Kerzhak @ 10,338024
40 Russian_Ustyuzhna @ 10,765287
41 Lithuanian @ 10,853766
42 Slovak @ 10,874919
43 Russian_Solvychegodsk @ 10,901885
44 Russian_Ural_East @ 11,133413
45 Russian_HGDP @ 11,402283
46 Czech @ 11,443092
47 Russian_Ural_West @ 11,697342
48 Ukrainian_Carpaty @ 11,998949
49 Russian_Baykal @ 12,101968
50 Russian_Vologda @ 12,394043
170 iterations.
Using 2 populations approximation:
1 Moksha+Polish @ 3,443604
2 Polish+Russian_Meshtchyora @ 3,526415
3 Polish+Russian_Ivanovo @ 3,56241
4 Belarusian_West+Russian_Meshtchyora @ 3,701826
5 Belarusian_West+Russian_Saratov @ 3,704803
6 Belarusian_West+Moksha @ 3,716556
7 Polish+Russian_Murom @ 3,717247
8 Belarusian_West+Russian_Tver @ 3,725247
9 Polish+Russian_Tver @ 3,732967
10 Russian_Ivanovo+Ukrainian_Volhyn @ 3,737785
11 Russian_Meshtchyora+Ukrainian_Volhyn @ 3,743876
12 Belarusian_West+Russian_Tambov @ 3,745022
13 Erzya+Polish @ 3,75217
14 Polish+Russian_Uglich @ 3,768775
15 Polish+Russian_Saratov @ 3,779979
16 Russian_Murom+Ukrainian_Volhyn @ 3,793038
17 Belarusian_West+Russian_Don @ 3,797065
18 Polish+Russian_Moscow @ 3,798967
19 Belarusian_West+Russian_Murom @ 3,80212
20 Russian_Tver+Ukrainian_Volhyn @ 3,808707
21 Belarusian_West+Russian_Ryazan_Tula @ 3,826793
22 Belarusian_West+Russian_Ivanovo @ 3,834879
23 Russian_Meshtchyora+Ukrainian_Slobozhanshtchina @ 3,863467
24 Belarusian_West+Russian_Moscow @ 3,871078
25 Russian_Uglich+Ukrainian_Slobozhanshtchina @ 3,887386
26 Belarusian_West+Belarusian_West @ 3,917103
27 Russian_Moscow+Ukrainian_Volhyn @ 3,945027
28 Belarusian_West+Russian_Bryansk @ 3,948105
29 Russian_Smolensk+Ukrainian_Galichina @ 3,963433
30 Belarusian_West+Ukrainian_Volhyn @ 3,968234
31 Polish+Russian_Tambov @ 3,988999
32 Russian_Meshtchyora+Ukrainian_Chernigov @ 3,993383
33 Moksha+Ukrainian_Volhyn @ 3,997307
34 Belarusian_West+Russian_Uglich @ 4,0074
35 Russian_Meshtchyora+Ukrainian_Vinnitsa_Zhitomir @ 4,013255
36 Moksha+Ukrainian_Slobozhanshtchina @ 4,034978
37 Russian_Ivanovo+Ukrainian_Slobozhanshtchina @ 4,035754
38 Russian_Uglich+Ukrainian_Volhyn @ 4,036868
39 Polish+Russian_Arzamas @ 4,042548
40 Russian_Ivanovo+Ukrainian_Vinnitsa_Zhitomir @ 4,04706
41 Polish+Russian_Ryazan_Tula @ 4,065299
42 Polish+Russian_Tatarstan_Arsk @ 4,076504
43 Russian_Tver+Ukrainian_Slobozhanshtchina @ 4,07738
44 Russian_Saratov+Ukrainian_Volhyn @ 4,079635
45 Belarusian_West+Ukrainian_Chernigov @ 4,079953
46 Russian_Don+Russian_Smolensk @ 4,081476
47 Moksha+Ukrainian_Chernigov @ 4,084574
48 Russian_Saratov+Ukrainian_Slobozhanshtchina @ 4,085865
49 Belarusian_West+Ukrainian_Slobozhanshtchina @ 4,088241
50 Russian_Don+Russian_Tver @ 4,099246
14535 iterations.
Using 3 populations approximation:
1 50% Polish +25% Belarusian_West +25% Russian_Ural_West @ 3,118793
2 50% Belarusian_West +25% Moksha +25% Polish @ 3,151536
3 50% Polish +25% Polish +25% Russian_Ural_West @ 3,156613
4 50% Polish +25% Russian_Ural_West +25% Ukrainian_Slobozhanshtchina @ 3,173788
5 50% Belarusian_West +25% Moksha +25% Ukrainian_Volhyn @ 3,194469
6 50% Polish +25% Russian_Smolensk +25% Russian_Ural_West @ 3,198858
7 50% Polish +25% Belarusian_West +25% Russian_Vyatka_NE @ 3,206621
8 50% Polish +25% Polish +25% Russian_Vyatka_NE @ 3,208325
9 50% Polish +25% Belarusian_West +25% Russian_Vyatka @ 3,217387
10 50% Polish +25% Belarusian_West +25% Moksha @ 3,230948
11 50% Belarusian_West +25% Belarusian_West +25% Moksha @ 3,23805
12 50% Polish +25% Polish +25% Russian_Vyatka @ 3,24449
13 50% Belarusian_West +25% Polish +25% Russian_Ural_West @ 3,247949
14 50% Polish +25% Moksha +25% Russian_Ivanovo @ 3,254064
15 50% Polish +25% Moksha +25% Russian_Meshtchyora @ 3,276818
16 50% Polish +25% Moksha +25% Russian_Uglich @ 3,277124
17 50% Polish +25% Belarusian_Vitebsk_Mogilyov +25% Russian_Ural_West @ 3,281316
18 50% Polish +25% Belarusian_West +25% Russian_Ural_East @ 3,282197
19 50% Polish +25% Russian_Andreapol +25% Russian_Ural_West @ 3,284503
20 50% Polish +25% Belarusian_Gomel +25% Russian_Ural_West @ 3,287183
21 50% Belarusian_West +25% Moksha +25% Ukrainian_Galichina @ 3,30721
22 50% Belarusian_West +25% Moksha +25% Ukrainian_Slobozhanshtchina @ 3,308222
23 50% Belarusian_West +25% Moksha +25% Ukrainian_Vinnitsa_Zhitomir @ 3,314135
24 50% Ukrainian_Slobozhanshtchina +25% Polish +25% Russian_Ural_West @ 3,315328
25 50% Polish +25% Russian_Smolensk +25% Russian_Vyatka_NE @ 3,320244
26 50% Polish +25% Russian_Vyatka_NE +25% Ukrainian_Slobozhanshtchina @ 3,32034
27 50% Polish +25% Belarusian_West +25% Russian_Siberia @ 3,320875
28 50% Polish +25% Moksha +25% Russian_Tver @ 3,321061
29 50% Polish +25% Belarusian_Poleshtchuk +25% Russian_Ural_West @ 3,321284
30 50% Belarusian_West +25% Moksha +25% Ukrainian_Chernigov @ 3,321509
31 50% Belarusian_West +25% Moksha +25% Russian_Don @ 3,32755
32 50% Polish +25% Russian_Ural_West +25% Ukrainian_Volhyn @ 3,331933
33 50% Polish +25% Russian_Ural_West +25% Ukrainian_Chernigov @ 3,333371
34 50% Polish +25% Moksha +25% Russian_Moscow @ 3,337107
35 50% Polish +25% Moksha +25% Russian_Murom @ 3,337205
36 50% Polish +25% Russian_Vyatka +25% Ukrainian_Volhyn @ 3,33783
37 50% Polish +25% Polish +25% Russian_Ural_East @ 3,34321
38 50% Polish +25% Belarusian_Vitebsk_Mogilyov +25% Russian_Vyatka_NE @ 3,350562
39 50% Russian_Smolensk +25% German_Volhyn +25% Moksha @ 3,350887
40 50% Belarusian_West +25% Polish +25% Russian_Vyatka @ 3,352026
41 50% Polish +25% Russian_Vyatka +25% Ukrainian_Slobozhanshtchina @ 3,352613
42 50% Belarusian_West +25% Polish +25% Russian_Vyatka_NE @ 3,366173
43 50% Polish +25% Belarusian_Minsk +25% Russian_Ural_West @ 3,374026
44 50% Polish +25% Moksha +25% Russian_Saratov @ 3,375738
45 50% Belarusian_West +25% Erzya +25% Polish @ 3,376269
46 50% Belarusian_West +25% Polish +25% Russian_Ural_East @ 3,380566
47 50% Belarusian_West +25% Erzya +25% Ukrainian_Volhyn @ 3,382022
48 50% Polish +25% Moksha +25% Russian_Vetluga @ 3,386443
49 50% Polish +25% Moksha +25% Russian_Ryazan_Tula @ 3,391596
50 50% Belarusian_West +25% Moksha +25% Ukrainian_Poltava @ 3,39482
1842803 iterations.
Using 4 populations approximation:
1 Belarusian_West+Polish+Polish+Russian_Ural_West @ 3,118793
2 Belarusian_West+Belarusian_West+Moksha+Polish @ 3,151536
3 Polish+Polish+Polish+Russian_Ural_West @ 3,156613
4 Polish+Polish+Russian_Ural_West+Ukrainian_Slobozhanshtchina @ 3,173788
5 Belarusian_West+Belarusian_West+Moksha+Ukrainian_Volhyn @ 3,194469
6 Polish+Polish+Russian_Smolensk+Russian_Ural_West @ 3,198858
7 Belarusian_West+Polish+Russian_Ural_West+Ukrainian_Slobozhanshtchina @ 3,204697
8 Belarusian_West+Polish+Polish+Russian_Vyatka_NE @ 3,206621
9 Polish+Polish+Polish+Russian_Vyatka_NE @ 3,208325
10 Belarusian_West+Polish+Polish+Russian_Vyatka @ 3,217387
11 Belarusian_West+Moksha+Polish+Polish @ 3,230948
12 Belarusian_West+Belarusian_West+Belarusian_West+Moksha @ 3,23805
13 Polish+Polish+Polish+Russian_Vyatka @ 3,24449
14 Belarusian_West+Belarusian_West+Polish+Russian_Ural_West @ 3,247949
15 Moksha+Polish+Polish+Russian_Ivanovo @ 3,254064
16 Polish+Russian_Smolensk+Russian_Ural_West+Ukrainian_Volhyn @ 3,271054
17 Moksha+Polish+Polish+Russian_Meshtchyora @ 3,276818
18 Moksha+Polish+Polish+Russian_Uglich @ 3,277124
19 Belarusian_West+Moksha+Polish+Ukrainian_Volhyn @ 3,278964
20 Belarusian_Vitebsk_Mogilyov+Polish+Polish+Russian_Ural_West @ 3,281316
21 Lithuanian+Polish+Russian_Ural_West+Ukrainian_Carpaty @ 3,281705
22 Belarusian_West+Polish+Polish+Russian_Ural_East @ 3,282197
23 Polish+Polish+Russian_Andreapol+Russian_Ural_West @ 3,284503
24 Belarusian_Gomel+Polish+Polish+Russian_Ural_West @ 3,287183
25 Belarusian_West+Polish+Russian_Ural_West+Ukrainian_Volhyn @ 3,290033
26 Belarusian_West+Polish+Russian_Vyatka+Ukrainian_Volhyn @ 3,305426
27 Belarusian_West+Belarusian_West+Moksha+Ukrainian_Galichina @ 3,30721
28 Belarusian_West+Belarusian_West+Moksha+Ukrainian_Slobozhanshtchina @ 3,308222
29 Belarusian_West+Lithuanian+Russian_Ural_West+Ukrainian_Carpaty @ 3,308652
30 Belarusian_West+Moksha+Polish+Russian_Tver @ 3,312677
31 Belarusian_West+Belarusian_West+Moksha+Ukrainian_Vinnitsa_Zhitomir @ 3,314135
32 Belarusian_West+Moksha+Polish+Russian_Ryazan_Tula @ 3,315286
33 Polish+Russian_Ural_West+Ukrainian_Slobozhanshtchina+Ukrainian_Slobozhanshtchina @ 3,315328
34 Belarusian_West+Moksha+Polish+Russian_Meshtchyora @ 3,318628
35 Belarusian_West+Moksha+Polish+Ukrainian_Slobozhanshtchina @ 3,319141
36 Polish+Polish+Russian_Smolensk+Russian_Vyatka_NE @ 3,320244
37 Polish+Polish+Russian_Vyatka_NE+Ukrainian_Slobozhanshtchina @ 3,32034
38 Belarusian_West+Polish+Polish+Russian_Siberia @ 3,320875
39 Moksha+Polish+Polish+Russian_Tver @ 3,321061
40 Belarusian_Poleshtchuk+Polish+Polish+Russian_Ural_West @ 3,321284
41 Belarusian_West+Belarusian_West+Moksha+Ukrainian_Chernigov @ 3,321509
42 Belarusian_West+Moksha+Polish+Russian_Ivanovo @ 3,324393
43 Belarusian_West+Belarusian_West+Moksha+Russian_Don @ 3,32755
44 Belarusian_West+Moksha+Polish+Ukrainian_Chernigov @ 3,329504
45 Belarusian_West+Moksha+Polish+Russian_Don @ 3,329656
46 Belarusian_West+Lithuanian+Moksha+Ukrainian_Carpaty @ 3,33062
47 Polish+Polish+Russian_Ural_West+Ukrainian_Volhyn @ 3,331933
48 Polish+Polish+Russian_Ural_West+Ukrainian_Chernigov @ 3,333371
49 Moksha+Polish+Polish+Russian_Moscow @ 3,337107
50 Moksha+Polish+Polish+Russian_Murom @ 3,337205
51 Polish+Polish+Russian_Vyatka+Ukrainian_Volhyn @ 3,33783
52 Belarusian_West+Moksha+Polish+Russian_Uglich @ 3,34099
53 Polish+Polish+Polish+Russian_Ural_East @ 3,34321
54 Belarusian_West+Moksha+Polish+Russian_Saratov @ 3,348689
55 Belarusian_Vitebsk_Mogilyov+Polish+Polish+Russian_Vyatka_NE @ 3,350562
56 German_Volhyn+Moksha+Russian_Smolensk+Russian_Smolensk @ 3,350887
57 Belarusian_West+Moksha+Polish+Russian_Moscow @ 3,351617
58 Belarusian_West+Belarusian_West+Polish+Russian_Vyatka @ 3,352026
59 Polish+Polish+Russian_Vyatka+Ukrainian_Slobozhanshtchina @ 3,352613
60 Belarusian_Poleshtchuk+Belarusian_West+Polish+Russian_Ural_West @ 3,353565
61 Belarusian_West+Moksha+Polish+Russian_Murom @ 3,354886
62 Belarusian_West+Moksha+Polish+Russian_Tambov @ 3,357178
63 Belarusian_West+Russian_Smolensk+Russian_Vetluga+Ukrainian_Carpaty @ 3,357418
64 Belarusian_West+Polish+Russian_Ural_West+Ukrainian_Chernigov @ 3,365665
65 Belarusian_West+Belarusian_West+Polish+Russian_Vyatka_NE @ 3,366173
66 Belarusian_West+Moksha+Polish+Russian_Bryansk @ 3,367182
67 Polish+Russian_Ural_West+Ukrainian_Slobozhanshtchina+Ukrainian_Volhyn @ 3,372291
68 Belarusian_Vitebsk_Mogilyov+Polish+Russian_Ural_West+Ukrainian_Volhyn @ 3,373564
69 Belarusian_Minsk+Polish+Polish+Russian_Ural_West @ 3,374026
70 Moksha+Polish+Polish+Russian_Saratov @ 3,375738
71 Belarusian_West+Belarusian_West+Erzya+Polish @ 3,376269
72 Belarusian_West+Polish+Russian_Ural_West+Ukrainian_Vinnitsa_Zhitomir @ 3,377961
73 Polish+Russian_Smolensk+Russian_Ural_West+Ukrainian_Vinnitsa_Zhitomir @ 3,378099
74 Latvian+Polish+Russian_Ural_West+Ukrainian_Carpaty @ 3,37833
75 Belarusian_West+Belarusian_West+Polish+Russian_Ural_East @ 3,380566
76 Belarusian_West+Belarusian_West+Erzya+Ukrainian_Volhyn @ 3,382022
77 Belarusian_West+Polish+Russian_Vyatka_NE+Ukrainian_Slobozhanshtchina @ 3,38352
78 Moksha+Polish+Polish+Russian_Vetluga @ 3,386443
79 Moksha+Polish+Russian_Smolensk+Ukrainian_Volhyn @ 3,387278
80 Belarusian_West+Moksha+Ukrainian_Slobozhanshtchina+Ukrainian_Volhyn @ 3,389857
81 Belarusian_West+Polish+Russian_Vyatka+Ukrainian_Slobozhanshtchina @ 3,391071
82 Moksha+Polish+Polish+Russian_Ryazan_Tula @ 3,391596
83 Belarusian_West+Belarusian_West+Moksha+Ukrainian_Poltava @ 3,39482
84 Belarusian_West+Belarusian_West+Russian_Ural_West+Ukrainian_Slobozhanshtchina @ 3,395124
85 Belarusian_West+Russian_Ural_West+Ukrainian_Slobozhanshtchina+Ukrainian_Volhyn @ 3,395493
86 Polish+Polish+Polish+Russian_Siberia @ 3,395955
87 Belarusian_Poleshtchuk+Polish+Polish+Russian_Vyatka_NE @ 3,396518
88 Polish+Polish+Russian_Ural_East+Ukrainian_Slobozhanshtchina @ 3,396854
89 Belarusian_West+Belarusian_West+Moksha+Russian_Ryazan_Tula @ 3,396904
90 Belarusian_West+Polish+Russian_Ural_East+Ukrainian_Slobozhanshtchina @ 3,401304
91 Belarusian_West+Moksha+Russian_Smolensk+Ukrainian_Galichina @ 3,40138
92 Moksha+Polish+Polish+Russian_Andreapol @ 3,403319
93 Belarusian_West+Belarusian_West+Polish+Russian_Siberia @ 3,403462
94 Moksha+Polish+Russian_Ivanovo+Ukrainian_Volhyn @ 3,403882
95 Polish+Polish+Russian_Tver+Russian_Ural_West @ 3,405361
96 Russian_Smolensk+Russian_Smolensk+Russian_Ural_West+Ukrainian_Carpaty @ 3,406014
97 Belarusian_West+Belarusian_West+Russian_Ural_West+Ukrainian_Volhyn @ 3,40683
98 Belarusian_West+Russian_Ural_West+Ukrainian_Slobozhanshtchina+Ukrainian_Slobozhanshtchina @ 3,409257
99 Belarusian_West+Polish+Russian_Siberia+Ukrainian_Volhyn @ 3,409702
100 Lithuanian+Polish+Russian_Vyatka+Ukrainian_Carpaty @ 3,409864